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Stuart Bergman

Canada-France trade: Preparing the next phase of a strategic partnership

L’appétit vient en mangeant.” Anyone who’s planned a simple croissant snack and somehow ended with cheese and dessert understands the French saying: desire grows once you start. What begins as a modest indulgence builds momentum, not because of excess, but because familiarity creates confidence, and curiosity invites the next choice.

The Canada–France trade relationship has followed the same logic. Over time, repeated exchanges, trusted partnerships and shared expectations have turned a long-standing relationship into a $12 billion, two-way merchandise trade flow.

The coming into force of the Canada–European Union Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) in 2017 significantly reduced barriers and expanded access, helping deepen commercial ties across sectors like aerospace, pharmaceuticals, agri-food, clean technologies, digital services, autos and others.

Future opportunities for Canadian exporters in France under CETA

Like a delicious French meal, it’s not the opening bite that defines the experience but what comes next. While work remains to smooth remaining trade frictions, new opportunities are emerging as both countries respond to shifting domestic and global conditions.

As Canada looks to diversify trade, France is pursuing several large-scale industrial strategies that create concrete import demand in areas where  Canadian firms have established expertise:

  • The Military Programming Law: A €413-billion (about C$607 billion) remilitarization initiative, reinforced in 2025 by additional defence spending commitments
  • France 2030: A €54-billion (about C$79 billion) industrial transformation investment plan
  • France’s Energy and Climate Strategy: A restructuring of the energy system around renewables and nuclear power
  • Agricultural modernization initiatives: Aimed at reversing France’s first agriculture trade deficit since 1978


France defence procurement: SAFE and new pathways for Canadian firms

European defence procurement has entered a new phase defined by urgency, scale and co-ordination. In 2025, Canada became the first non-European Union (EU) country to participate in SAFE, the EU’s Security Action for Europe instrument, which provides up to €150 billion (about C$220 billion) in defence-related loans to EU member states.

For Canadian firms, SAFE participation matters. It’s reshaping how defence contracts are financed and awarded, including those related to France’s Military Programming Law.

As a trusted partner outside the EU, Canada offers manufacturing capacity aligned with North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) standards, strong export controls and long-term policy commitment. SAFE creates a pathway for Canada and France to move beyond ad hoc transactions toward more structured co-operation, particularly in upstream components and industrial inputs critical to sustained production.

Critical minerals: Canada’s role in France’s battery supply chain

With France positioning itself as a leader in Europe's electric vehicle (EV) battery production, its reliance on critical mineral imports, particularly from China, creates supply chain vulnerabilities.

Canada is well-positioned to help fill these gaps as a trusted, like-minded partner supplying France’s “Battery Valley” gigafactories in the Hauts-de-France region.

Graphite presents the most immediate opportunity.  France lacks graphite processing capacity, while China controls roughly 85% of global battery anode material production. France also faces shortages of nickel and cobalt, and planned domestic lithium production is expected to fall short of future demand. In most cases, Canadian capabilities could help fill the gap, and the policy framework needed to support these supply chains already exists.

In September 2023, Canada and France launched a bilateral critical minerals dialogue, with partnerships extending to Quebec and Saskatchewan. France has also established a €2-billion (about C$2.9 billion) critical metals investment fund, including €500 million (about C$735 million) in French state capital earmarked for mining investments, including in Canada.

The bottom line: Why France is a priority market for Canadian exporters

Shared language, deep cultural ties and growing political alignment make Canada and France natural commercial partners. In an increasingly uncertain global environment, these connections matter more than ever.

France’s industrial strategies in defence, energy and batteries are designed to rebuild strategic capacity and reduce supply chain risk. Canada brings scale in critical minerals, credibility in defence co-operation and a policy framework that already supports deeper engagement through CETA, bilateral dialogues and EU-level instruments such as SAFE.

For Canadian exporters, France is emerging as a central destination for expanding a European footprint. What began as a pragmatic trade relationship now has the potential to evolve into genuine strategic integration, driven by confidence, trust and shared ambition.

This week, a very special thanks to Sasan Fouladirad and Hani Wannamaker, analysts in our Economic and Political Intelligence Centre.

As always, at EDC Economics, we value your feedback. If you have ideas for topics that you’d like us to explore, please email us at economics@edc.ca and we’ll do our best to cover them.

This commentary is presented for informational purposes only. It’s not intended to be a comprehensive or detailed statement on any subject and no representations or warranties, express or implied, are made as to its accuracy, timeliness or completeness. Nothing in this commentary is intended to provide financial, legal, accounting or tax advice nor should it be relied upon. EDC nor the author is liable whatsoever for any loss or damage caused by, or resulting from, any use of or any inaccuracies, errors or omissions in the information provided.


 

Date modified: 2026-03-19