The global economy appears to be stabilizing and aligning for a steady approach. While the world’s major economies managed to avoid the crash many had anticipated, this next phase won’t come without turbulence.
EDC Economics forecasts global growth of 3.2% in 2024, climbing slightly to 3.3% in 2025. We expect the Canadian economy to grow by just 1.1% this year, ascending to 1.6% next year. Growth is constrained by high consumer debt and a weakening labour market, which hasn’t kept pace with new labour force entrants.
We anticipate U.S. growth of 2.5% in 2024, descending to 1.8% the following year. The outcome of the November presidential election could lead us to adjust our 2025 forecast further.
The Euro Area’s growth outlook is moderate, at just 0.8% in 2024 and 1.4% in 2025. China’s economy continues to face challenges, with growth projected at 4.8% this year, spiralling down to 4.5% in 2025.
Our autumn Global Economic Outlook report is a must-read, packed with valuable information and insights on the world’s key economies, interest rates, commodity prices and exchange rates.