Tariffs are disrupting global supply chains and driving up costs for Canadian and American consumers. According to EDC Economics, the measures are impacting Canada’s economy by reducing trade volumes and contributing to job losses. Statistics Canada reported in October that the national unemployment rate is at its highest point in more than four years at 7.1%.
EDC senior economist Prince Owusu says the jobless rate is likely to remain elevated as Canadian products become uncompetitive in the U.S. market.
“Businesses are placing their investment plans on hold or cancelling them all together. We’ve seen this in sectors like autos where some companies have decided to drastically shift their operations in order to mitigate the impact of tariffs,” says Owusu.
Key sectors impacted include:
Agriculture and agri-food
U.S.: This sector remains highly vulnerable to future trade actions due to its integration with the U.S. market. As of Oct. 15, no Canadian agricultural products—aside from potash—face confirmed U.S. tariffs.
China: In March, following Canada’s 100% tariff on electric vehicles from China, China imposed retaliatory tariffs on Canadian goods:
- 100% on canola oil, oilseed meal and peas
- 25% on seafood and pork products
These tariffs remain in effect as of October.
Automotive
- The U.S. maintains a 25% tariff on finished vehicles. CUSMA-compliant vehicles are exempt, but non-American components still face duties.
- Canada has removed most tariffs on U.S. autos, though disputes persist.
- On Oct. 13, Stellantis announced it would shift production out of Brampton, ON, investing US$13 billion to expand operations in the U.S.
Construction
Tariffs on steel, aluminum and lumber are increasing costs and delaying projects.
Energy and critical minerals
The U.S. has imposed:
- 10% tariff on Canadian energy products and potash
- 35% tariff on non-energy Canadian goods
- 40% transshipment tariff for goods rerouted to evade duties
Steel and aluminum
U.S. steel and aluminum tariffs increased from 25% to 50% in June, affecting raw materials and products such as dishwashers and refrigerators.
- On Oct. 15, Canada granted tariff relief on select U.S. and Chinese steel and aluminum imports to support domestic industries.
- A recent amendment to the 2024 surtax remission order allows duty-free entry of certain U.S. and Chinese metals not manufactured in Canada.
Copper
A 50% tariff was imposed starting Aug. 1. Raw materials are exempt.
Furniture and cabinetry
New tariffs on upholstered wood products and kitchen/bathroom cabinets are affecting Canadian manufacturers:
- 25% tariff effective Oct. 14
- Increasing to 30% and 50% in 2026 depending on product category and trade agreement status
Lumber
The U.S. has imposed:
- 10% tariff on softwood lumber and timber
- Countervailing and anti-dumping duties on Canadian lumber increased from 14.5% to 35%, with total tariffs reaching 45%
- Canada hasn’t imposed broad counter-tariffs on U.S. lumber but is considering targeted retaliation.
Manufacturing
Machinery, electronics and consumer goods sectors are facing higher costs for raw materials and components, reducing production efficiency and increasing prices.